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Qual 332016 Carson Division
Red85
277150.3
602524.9
115634.9
Blue108
112630.6
193928.2
171848.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710505015020085108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#26
50.31.8
54.7→52.9
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
red by 1.6
1718
#6
48.80.3
41.6→41.9
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
Second
1156
#61
34.91.8
34.2→32.4
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
red by 4.3
1126
#28
30.60.3
30.2→30.5
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Third
6025
#72
24.92.4
22.5→20.2
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End3.1
blue by 3.3
1939
#50
28.20.3
31.7→32.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsEarned