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Qual 342016 Carson Division
Red111
153341.0
113732.3
247443.6
Blue84
161942.7
115924.4
125833.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11311470809010012013014011184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#21
43.60.0
42.9→42.9
Auto10.6
Teleop27.5
End5.5
red by 0.8
1619
#11
42.71.7
46.7→45.1
Auto16.2
Teleop21.7
End4.9
Second
1533
#31
41.00.0
36.8→36.7
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
red by 7.4
1258
#40
33.51.7
37.1→35.4
Auto11.6
Teleop16.3
End5.7
Third
1137
#14
32.30.0
31.5→31.4
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
red by 7.9
1159
#66
24.41.8
25.1→23.3
Auto8.7
Teleop11.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
66%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsMissed