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Qual 352016 Carson Division
Red105
252625.2
299637.0
259049.3
Blue83
198736.6
614425.8
412124.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1157605010015020010583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#2
49.30.4
43.2→42.8
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End6.7
red by 12.6
1987
#32
36.60.2
33.4→33.7
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
Second
2996
#25
37.00.4
38.1→37.6
Auto8.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
red by 11.2
6144
#70
25.80.2
22.7→22.9
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End3.8
Third
2526
#56
25.20.4
25.1→24.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
red by 1.3
4121
#65DQ
24.00.2
23.6→23.8
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed