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Red137
244525.7
436240.4
213742.1
Blue124
248640.3
602524.9
589546.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110150150200137124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#10
42.10.5
44.545.0
Auto16.7
Teleop19.9
End5.6
blue by 4.1
46.31.5
44.345.8
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
Second
4362
#23
40.40.5
45.946.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.4
red by 0.1
2486
#24
40.31.5
36.738.2
Auto10.8
Teleop24.1
End5.4
Third
2445
#36
25.70.5
23.924.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End3.4
red by 0.8
6025
#72
24.91.9
20.222.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsMissed