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Qual 402016 Carson Division
Red108
591323.7
125833.5
353842.8
Blue117
297818.6
13546.3
240337.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959360708090100110120108117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#43
42.80.8
35.6→36.4
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
blue by 3.5
135
#49
46.31.4
44.5→45.9
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Second
1258
#40
33.50.8
35.4→36.2
Auto11.6
Teleop16.3
End5.7
blue by 3.6
2403
#29
37.11.4
34.1→35.5
Auto7.6
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Third
5913
#38
23.70.9
19.7→20.6
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End2.7
red by 5.1
2978
#46
18.61.4
12.9→14.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed