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Qual 412016 Carson Division
Red101
533232.4
113732.3
545427.1
Blue161
198736.6
97351.7
259049.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9013650100150200101161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5332
#64
32.40.5
33.4→33.8
Auto8.2
Teleop20.5
End3.7
blue by 19.3
973
#1
51.72.1
48.6→50.7
Auto18.3
Teleop25.8
End7.6
Second
1137
#14
32.30.5
31.4→31.9
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
blue by 17.0
2590
#2
49.32.1
42.8→44.8
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End6.7
Third
5454
#69
27.10.5
29.2→29.6
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.8
blue by 9.5
1987
#32
36.62.1
33.7→35.7
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned42%Capture oddsEarned