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Red92
5130.6
412124.0
426433.7
Blue115
205249.5
52546.2
161942.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811515010020092115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4264
#13
33.70.2
31.832.1
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End5.4
blue by 15.8
49.51.8
45.643.8
Auto14.0
Teleop27.8
End7.7
Second
51
#67
30.60.2
32.933.1
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
blue by 15.6
525
#33
46.21.8
45.944.2
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
Third
4121
#65
24.00.2
23.824.0
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1
blue by 18.8
1619
#11
42.71.8
45.143.3
Auto16.2
Teleop21.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed11%Capture oddsEarned