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Red132
29627.9
382448.9
22556.5
Blue169
277150.3
299637.0
61051.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321456080100120160180200220132169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#3
56.50.6
52.451.9
Auto17.1
Teleop31.0
End8.4
red by 4.7
610
#12
51.80.4
48.048.4
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End11.2
Second
3824
#47
48.90.6
49.248.7
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
blue by 1.4
2771
#26
50.30.4
52.953.3
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Third
296
#55
27.90.6
28.628.1
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End5.9
blue by 9.1
2996
#25
37.00.4
37.638.0
Auto8.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed51%Capture oddsEarned