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Qual 452016 Carson Division
Red111
413523.2
162541.2
413137.8
Blue79
74621.2
402846.0
571233.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210805015020025011179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#53
41.20.7
43.2→43.9
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End8.5
blue by 4.8
4028
#19
46.01.7
41.8→40.1
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
Second
4131
#44
37.80.7
34.1→34.8
Auto8.2
Teleop23.4
End6.1
red by 4.5
5712
#34
33.21.7
35.7→34.0
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End4.3
Third
4135
#62
23.20.7
22.7→23.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.3
red by 2.0
746
#58
21.21.9
26.7→24.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed27%Capture oddsMissed