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Red80
112630.6
265536.0
402630.6
Blue160
590734.6
102453.4
191851.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881535010020025080160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
#27
36.01.0
31.330.4
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
blue by 17.4
53.40.4
55.756.1
Auto13.6
Teleop35.1
End4.7
Second
4026
#48
30.61.0
32.831.8
Auto12.3
Teleop14.9
End3.4
blue by 20.9
51.60.4
50.350.7
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
Third
1126
#28
30.61.0
30.529.5
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
blue by 4.0
5907
#16
34.60.4
33.033.4
Auto11.9
Teleop17.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsMissed86%Capture oddsEarned