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Red170
205249.5
402846.0
153341.0
Blue139
23336.1
402630.6
86853.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125119050100150200250300170139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.53.0
43.846.8
Auto14.0
Teleop27.8
End7.7
blue by 3.6
868
#42
53.11.2
46.647.8
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End6.0
Second
4028
#19
46.03.0
40.143.1
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
red by 9.9
233
#41
36.11.2
38.039.2
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End7.1
Third
1533
#31
41.03.0
36.839.7
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
red by 10.3
4026
#48
30.61.2
31.833.0
Auto12.3
Teleop14.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned52%Capture oddsEarned