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Qual 582016 Carson Division
Red132
102453.4
248533.5
302131.1
Blue153
31942.1
61051.8
161942.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12114150100200250132153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#7
53.40.5
56.1→56.6
Auto13.6
Teleop35.1
End4.7
red by 1.6
610
#12
51.81.3
48.4→49.6
Auto9.3
Teleop31.3
End11.2
Second
2485
#18
33.50.5
31.4→31.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.3
End5.0
blue by 9.2
1619
#11
42.71.3
43.3→44.6
Auto16.2
Teleop21.7
End4.9
Third
3021
#71
31.10.5
32.7→33.1
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.7
blue by 11.1
319
#20
42.11.3
42.0→43.3
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsEarned93%Capture oddsEarned