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Qual 592016 Carson Division
Red115
459224.6
335226.5
247443.6
Blue111
213742.1
382448.9
74621.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8912850100150200115111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#21
43.61.2
41.8→43.0
Auto10.6
Teleop27.5
End5.5
blue by 5.4
3824
#47
48.90.8
48.7→47.8
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
Second
3352
#17
26.51.2
28.6→29.8
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End6.2
blue by 15.6
2137
#10
42.10.8
45.0→44.2
Auto16.7
Teleop19.9
End5.6
Third
4592
#60
24.61.2
22.0→23.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.5
End2.8
red by 3.4
746
#58
21.20.8
24.8→24.0
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned26%Capture oddsMissed