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Red108
587919.0
609836.6
402846.0
Blue122
589721.7
299637.0
353842.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91100050150200108122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#19
46.01.2
43.144.3
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
red by 3.2
3538
#43
42.81.4
36.237.7
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
Second
6098
#54
36.61.2
32.233.5
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End3.6
blue by 0.4
2996
#25
37.01.4
38.840.2
Auto8.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Third
5879
#74
19.01.2
14.115.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End2.4
blue by 2.7
5897
#68
21.71.4
20.522.0
Auto8.5
Teleop10.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed