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Red139
248533.5
589546.3
161942.7
Blue112
276123.1
220230.9
162541.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329450150200139112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.1
46.547.6
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
red by 5.1
1625
#53
41.21.0
43.944.9
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End8.5
Second
1619
#11
42.71.1
44.645.7
Auto16.2
Teleop21.7
End4.9
red by 11.8
2202
#52
30.91.0
30.731.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End4.4
Third
2485
#18
33.51.1
31.832.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.3
End5.0
red by 10.4
2761
#73
23.11.0
22.223.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
34%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsMissed