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Qual 652016 Carson Division
Red79
125833.5
115634.9
402630.6
Blue80
335226.5
1127.8
545427.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10588501507980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#61
34.91.7
31.8→30.1
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
red by 7.1
11
#59
27.80.5
28.7→28.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Second
1258
#40
33.51.7
35.0→33.2
Auto11.6
Teleop16.3
End5.7
red by 6.4
5454
#69
27.10.5
29.8→29.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.8
Third
4026
#48
30.61.7
33.0→31.3
Auto12.3
Teleop14.9
End3.4
red by 4.1
3352
#17
26.50.5
29.8→29.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
40%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed