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Qual 662016 Carson Division
Red121
240337.1
112630.6
213742.1
Blue97
302131.1
516734.1
52546.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151159010011012013014012197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#10
42.10.4
44.2→44.6
Auto16.7
Teleop19.9
End5.6
blue by 4.1
525
#33
46.21.4
44.0→42.6
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
Second
2403
#29
37.10.4
36.0→36.4
Auto7.6
Teleop23.2
End6.3
red by 3.0
5167
#35
34.11.4
36.2→34.8
Auto9.6
Teleop19.3
End5.2
Third
1126
#28
30.60.4
29.5→29.9
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
blue by 0.5
3021
#71
31.11.4
33.1→31.7
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsEarned34%Capture oddsMissed