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Red165
22556.5
206747.3
247443.6
Blue125
13546.3
86853.1
412124.0
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145120050100200250165125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#3
56.51.5
51.953.4
Auto17.1
Teleop31.0
End8.4
red by 3.4
868
#42
53.10.3
47.848.1
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End6.0
Second
2067
#37
47.31.5
42.143.6
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End4.3
red by 1.0
135
#49
46.30.3
47.047.3
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Third
2474
#21
43.61.5
43.044.5
Auto10.6
Teleop27.5
End5.5
red by 19.6
4121
#65
24.00.3
25.425.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
84%Capture oddsEarned30%Capture oddsMissed