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Red50
136914.2
5130.6
382448.9
Blue94
397040.1
153341.0
252625.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102113501502005094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#47
48.93.4
47.844.5
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
red by 8.0
1533
#31
41.00.9
39.738.8
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
Second
51
#67
30.63.4
33.329.9
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
blue by 9.5
3970
#45
40.10.9
41.340.4
Auto7.8
Teleop25.8
End6.5
Third
1369
#75
14.23.4
19.616.2
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.5
blue by 11.0
2526
#56
25.20.9
26.825.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed