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Qual 762016 Carson Division
Red105
52546.2
112630.6
614425.8
Blue120
1127.8
153341.0
382448.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97118050150200105120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#33
46.20.5
42.6→43.1
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
blue by 2.7
3824
#47
48.90.1
44.5→44.4
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
Second
1126
#28
30.60.5
29.9→30.4
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
blue by 10.4
1533
#31
41.00.1
38.8→38.7
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
Third
6144
#70
25.80.5
24.8→25.3
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End3.8
blue by 2.0
11
#59
27.80.1
28.1→28.0
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsMissed