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Red78
277150.3
545427.1
220230.9
Blue87
252625.2
247443.6
508432.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124101501502007887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#26
50.32.9
55.953.0
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
red by 6.8
2474
#21
43.60.9
44.543.6
Auto10.6
Teleop27.5
End5.5
Second
2202
#52
30.92.9
31.728.8
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End4.4
blue by 1.1
5084
#57
32.00.9
30.829.9
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End5.7
Third
5454
#69
27.12.9
29.226.3
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.8
red by 1.9
2526
#56
25.20.9
25.824.9
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsMissed90%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed24%Capture oddsMissed