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Red70
412124.0
590734.6
413523.2
Blue139
240337.1
248533.5
212251.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801275010015020070139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#16
34.61.0
33.832.8
Auto11.9
Teleop17.1
End5.6
blue by 16.7
51.31.2
47.448.6
Auto13.9
Teleop26.4
End11.0
Second
4121
#65
24.01.0
25.724.8
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1
blue by 13.2
2403
#29
37.11.2
36.437.5
Auto7.6
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Third
4135
#62
23.21.0
25.124.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End2.3
blue by 10.3
2485
#18
33.51.2
32.934.0
Auto11.2
Teleop17.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsEarned