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Red95
589721.7
397040.1
335226.5
Blue96
353842.8
29627.9
113732.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93102501509596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#45
40.10.2
40.440.6
Auto7.8
Teleop25.8
End6.5
blue by 2.7
3538
#43
42.80.1
37.737.6
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
Second
3352
#17
26.50.2
29.229.4
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End6.2
blue by 5.8
1137
#14
32.30.1
31.531.3
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
Third
5897
#68
21.70.2
21.822.0
Auto8.5
Teleop10.0
End3.2
blue by 6.2
296
#55
27.90.1
28.728.5
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed18%Capture oddsEarned