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Red126
161942.7
299637.0
191851.6
Blue102
193928.2
13546.3
213742.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14412250100200126102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.7
51.150.3
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 5.3
135
#49
46.32.3
47.345.0
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Second
1619
#11
42.70.7
45.744.9
Auto16.2
Teleop21.7
End4.9
red by 0.6
2137
#10
42.12.3
44.642.3
Auto16.7
Teleop19.9
End5.6
Third
2996
#25
37.00.7
40.239.5
Auto8.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
red by 8.7
1939
#50
28.22.3
30.127.7
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
49%Capture oddsEarned55%Capture oddsMissed