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Qual 812016 Carson Division
Red103
4144.3
5130.6
587919.0
Blue96
533232.4
115924.4
74621.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928120406010012014016010396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#15
44.31.0
42.7→43.7
Auto12.4
Teleop27.3
End4.6
red by 11.8
5332
#64
32.40.4
31.8→32.2
Auto8.2
Teleop20.5
End3.7
Second
51
#67
30.61.0
29.9→30.9
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
red by 6.2
1159
#66
24.40.4
24.6→25.0
Auto8.7
Teleop11.1
End4.6
Third
5879
#74
19.01.0
15.3→16.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End2.4
blue by 2.1
746
#58
21.20.4
23.8→24.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed