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Red121
90438.3
276123.1
248640.3
Blue102
297818.6
265536.0
23336.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105864060120140160180121102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#24
40.31.1
40.041.1
Auto10.8
Teleop24.1
End5.4
red by 4.2
233
#41
36.11.0
39.040.0
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End7.1
Second
904
#30
38.31.1
36.137.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.6
End11.9
red by 2.3
2655
#27
36.01.0
31.532.6
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Third
2761
#73
23.11.1
23.224.3
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End3.5
red by 4.5
2978
#46
18.61.0
16.017.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed20%Capture oddsEarned