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Qual 852016 Carson Division
Red88
609836.6
589546.3
302131.1
Blue127
426433.7
22556.5
198736.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11213040608010012014016018020088127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#4
46.31.6
47.6→46.0
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
blue by 10.3
225
#3
56.50.1
53.4→53.3
Auto17.1
Teleop31.0
End8.4
Second
6098
#54
36.61.6
32.1→30.6
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End3.6
blue by 0.1
1987
#32
36.60.1
36.5→36.4
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
Third
3021
#71
31.11.6
31.7→30.1
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.7
blue by 2.6
4264
#13
33.70.1
33.9→33.8
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
22%Capture oddsMissed31%Capture oddsEarned