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Red107
86853.1
516734.1
136914.2
Blue107
591323.7
436240.4
571233.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039920406080120140160107107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#42
53.1
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End6.0
red by 12.7
4362
#23
40.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End7.4
Second
5167
#35
34.1
Auto9.6
Teleop19.3
End5.2
red by 0.9
5712
#34
33.2
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End4.3
Third
1369
#75
14.2
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.5
blue by 9.4
5913
#38
23.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed