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Red157
614425.8
191851.6
402846.0
Blue97
4144.3
220230.9
335226.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610105015020015797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.5
50.351.9
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 7.3
41
#15
44.30.7
43.743.0
Auto12.4
Teleop27.3
End4.6
Second
4028
#19
46.01.5
43.344.8
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
red by 15.1
2202
#52
30.90.7
28.828.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End4.4
Third
6144
#70
25.81.5
25.326.9
Auto9.0
Teleop13.1
End3.8
blue by 0.7
3352
#17
26.50.7
29.428.8
Auto5.9
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
35%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed