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Red92
112630.6
115924.4
248640.3
Blue84
252625.2
589721.7
13546.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101944060801201409284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#24
40.30.3
41.140.8
Auto10.8
Teleop24.1
End5.4
blue by 6.0
135
#49
46.30.5
45.044.5
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End7.9
Second
1126
#28
30.60.3
30.630.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
red by 5.4
2526
#56
25.20.5
24.924.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Third
1159
#66
24.40.3
25.024.7
Auto8.7
Teleop11.1
End4.6
red by 2.7
5897
#68
21.70.5
22.021.5
Auto8.5
Teleop10.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed