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Qual 912016 Carson Division
Red126
213742.1
277150.3
426433.7
Blue118
533232.4
102453.4
412124.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13611350100150200126118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#26
50.30.9
53.0→52.1
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
blue by 3.1
1024
#7
53.40.7
56.1→55.4
Auto13.6
Teleop35.1
End4.7
Second
2137
#10
42.10.9
42.3→41.4
Auto16.7
Teleop19.9
End5.6
red by 9.7
5332
#64
32.40.7
32.4→31.7
Auto8.2
Teleop20.5
End3.7
Third
4264
#13
33.70.9
33.8→32.9
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End5.4
red by 9.7
4121
#65
24.00.7
24.8→24.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
79%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsEarned