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Red148
571233.2
259049.3
590734.6
Blue87
247443.6
5130.6
6028.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11710405015020014887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.32.1
45.547.6
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End6.7
red by 5.7
2474
#21
43.61.1
43.642.5
Auto10.6
Teleop27.5
End5.5
Second
5907
#16
34.62.1
32.834.9
Auto11.9
Teleop17.1
End5.6
red by 4.0
51
#67
30.61.1
30.929.8
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Third
5712
#34
33.22.1
33.235.3
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End4.3
red by 4.9
60
#51
28.31.1
28.327.3
Auto6.9
Teleop17.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
79%Capture oddsEarned34%Capture oddsMissed