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Qual 932016 Carson Division
Red100
1127.8
353842.8
23336.1
Blue133
566329.7
193928.2
22556.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108115050150200250300100133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#43
42.80.4
37.6→37.2
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
blue by 13.7
225
#3
56.51.2
54.9→56.1
Auto17.1
Teleop31.0
End8.4
Second
233
#41
36.10.4
40.0→39.7
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End7.1
red by 6.4
5663
#22
29.71.2
27.9→29.1
Auto11.3
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Third
11
#59
27.80.4
28.0→27.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 0.5
1939
#50
28.21.2
27.7→28.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
41%Capture oddsMissed26%Capture oddsMissed