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Qual 942016 Carson Division
Red68
162541.2
29627.9
136914.2
Blue109
297818.6
302131.1
115634.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9578020406012014016068109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#53
41.21.4
45.0→43.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End8.5
red by 6.3
1156
#61
34.92.1
30.7→32.7
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
Second
296
#55
27.91.4
28.5→27.1
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End5.9
blue by 3.1
3021
#71
31.12.1
30.1→32.2
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.7
Third
1369
#75
14.21.4
16.2→14.7
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.5
blue by 4.3
2978
#46
18.62.1
17.0→19.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed