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Qual 952016 Carson Division
Red112
198736.6
508432.0
402630.6
Blue116
31942.1
382448.9
244525.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9412350150200112116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#32
36.61.1
36.4→37.5
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
blue by 12.3
3824
#47
48.90.3
44.4→44.1
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
Second
5084
#57
32.01.1
29.9→31.0
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End5.7
blue by 10.1
319
#20
42.10.3
43.9→43.6
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Third
4026
#48
30.61.1
29.3→30.4
Auto12.3
Teleop14.9
End3.4
red by 5.0
2445
#36
25.70.3
27.3→27.0
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed25%Capture oddsMissed