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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Carver Division
Red150
111454.4
2754.2
2041.1
Blue200
130546.5
341939.6
264839.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209165100150250300150200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#27
54.40.8
56.255.4
Auto17.6
Teleop27.5
End9.3
red by 7.8
46.50.5
46.847.3
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End4.7
Second
27
#4
54.20.8
56.155.3
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End6.8
red by 14.6
3419
#46
39.60.5
39.940.4
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Third
20
#16
41.10.8
41.941.1
Auto11.2
Teleop24.1
End5.8
red by 1.9
2648
#31
39.20.5
39.540.0
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8