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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Carver Division
Red124
111454.4
2754.2
592434.8
Blue135
130546.5
341939.6
264839.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196169050100250300350400124135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#27
54.41.1
55.454.4
Auto17.6
Teleop27.5
End9.3
red by 7.8
46.50.3
47.347.0
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End4.7
Second
27
#4
54.21.1
55.354.2
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End6.8
red by 14.6
3419
#46
39.60.3
40.440.1
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Third
5924
#37
34.81.1
35.934.8
Auto10.1
Teleop18.8
End5.9
blue by 4.4
2648
#31
39.20.3
40.039.7
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8