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Red89
26330.7
546053.9
532631.2
Blue82
583021.7
36049.5
152932.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117934060801001401601802008982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.91.4
50.148.7
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End8.4
red by 4.5
360
#19
49.50.8
41.640.9
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
Second
5326
#29
31.21.9
27.525.6
Auto8.9
Teleop20.2
End2.2
blue by 1.4
1529
#44
32.60.8
36.836.0
Auto7.4
Teleop19.3
End5.8
Third
263
#47
30.71.4
32.631.2
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End5.4
red by 9.0
5830
#68
21.70.8
15.114.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed