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Qual 22016 Carver Division
Red124
190225.5
349031.8
23062.8
Blue111
581625.6
248159.6
148137.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11211680100120140160124111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#3
62.80.3
54.8→55.1
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End3.6
red by 3.2
2481
#8
59.60.0
55.1→55.0
Auto20.0
Teleop33.0
End6.6
Second
3490
#53
31.80.3
28.7→29.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.8
End5.5
blue by 5.5
1481
#48
37.40.0
34.2→34.2
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Third
1902
#59
25.50.3
25.7→26.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End5.2
blue by 0.1
5816
#66
25.60.0
22.4→22.3
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed9%Capture oddsMissed