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Qual 102016 Carver Division
Red105
177539.2
172329.7
174642.9
Blue103
347839.0
608637.0
22836.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11894050150200105103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#24
42.90.7
46.3→45.5
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End9.7
red by 3.9
3478
#38
39.00.2
26.5→26.7
Auto8.3
Teleop21.8
End8.8
Second
1775
#58
39.20.7
39.5→38.8
Auto11.5
Teleop19.1
End8.6
red by 2.2
6086
#40
37.00.2
38.3→38.5
Auto8.6
Teleop23.6
End4.8
Third
1723
#25
29.70.7
25.3→24.5
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
blue by 7.0
228
#34
36.70.2
30.2→30.4
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed