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Qual 112016 Carver Division
Red130
335744.7
50342.0
84249.7
Blue115
35952.1
91041.6
276753.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124152050100200250300130115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#5
49.70.0
42.8→42.8
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End8.6
blue by 3.2
2767
#13
53.01.9
49.0→47.1
Auto14.2
Teleop30.9
End7.8
Second
3357
#9
44.70.0
42.2→42.2
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
blue by 7.4
359
#42
52.11.9
54.6→52.6
Auto14.1
Teleop30.3
End7.8
Third
503
#11
42.00.0
39.6→39.7
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
red by 0.3
910
#45
41.61.9
40.1→38.2
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
69%Capture oddsEarned55%Capture oddsMissed