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Qual 1012016 Carver Division
Red111
5732.2
349031.8
83436.8
Blue77
166525.4
341939.6
360029.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610105015020025011177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#14
36.81.1
34.8→36.0
Auto12.2
Teleop20.6
End4.1
blue by 2.8
3419
#46
39.61.4
40.7→39.4
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Second
57
#10
32.21.1
29.1→30.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 2.3
3600
#57
29.81.4
30.5→29.1
Auto8.2
Teleop18.3
End3.3
Third
3490
#53
31.81.1
30.0→31.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.8
End5.5
red by 6.4
1665
#72
25.41.4
26.3→24.9
Auto4.5
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
18%Capture oddsEarned11%Capture oddsMissed