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Red108
304917.2
353637.0
2041.1
Blue99
592031.3
22836.7
460724.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989240608012010899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#16
41.10.3
42.042.2
Auto11.2
Teleop24.1
End5.8
red by 4.4
228
#34
36.70.6
36.236.8
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Second
3536
#20
37.00.3
37.237.5
Auto11.9
Teleop20.8
End4.3
red by 5.7
5920
#63
31.30.6
31.432.0
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
Third
3049
#73
17.20.3
14.915.2
Auto2.8
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 7.5
4607
#56
24.70.6
22.423.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed12%Capture oddsMissed