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Red132
50342.0
547226.3
126236.9
Blue91
430117.9
551834.9
581625.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1086802040608010012014016013291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#11
42.01.5
40.542.0
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
red by 7.1
5518
#32
34.91.3
33.434.7
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End4.8
Second
1262
#12
36.91.5
35.236.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.1
red by 11.3
5816
#66
25.61.3
22.323.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End4.9
Third
5472
#28
26.31.5
23.424.9
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End4.0
red by 8.4
4301
#75
17.91.3
15.917.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
48%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed