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Qual 1082016 Carver Division
Red97
8542.1
105845.4
164830.4
Blue134
546053.9
425331.3
7839.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129125608010014016018020022097134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#51
45.42.2
48.2→46.0
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
blue by 8.6
5460
#6
53.90.8
53.3→54.1
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End8.4
Second
85
#21
42.12.2
43.9→41.7
Auto8.7
Teleop30.3
End3.1
red by 2.5
78
#18
39.70.8
38.1→38.9
Auto15.1
Teleop19.1
End5.5
Third
1648
#61
30.42.2
32.9→30.7
Auto8.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
blue by 0.9
4253
#35
31.30.8
30.8→31.6
Auto10.0
Teleop15.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsMissed97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
52%Capture oddsMissed25%Capture oddsEarned