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Red75
589121.8
174642.9
190225.5
Blue120
13359.3
453631.2
172329.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881285010015020075120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#24
42.91.1
41.940.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End9.7
blue by 16.5
133
#1
59.30.1
60.560.6
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
Second
1902
#59
25.51.1
26.925.8
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End5.2
blue by 5.7
4536
#22
31.20.1
28.929.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.5
Third
5891
#36
21.81.1
22.221.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End2.3
blue by 7.9
1723
#25
29.70.1
28.929.0
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed59%Capture oddsEarned