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Red109
608637.0
148137.4
166525.4
Blue117
19030.8
335744.7
345241.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10112450150200109117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1481
#48
37.40.5
38.939.3
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End7.2
blue by 7.4
44.70.4
45.445.0
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
Second
6086
#40
37.00.5
37.938.3
Auto8.6
Teleop23.6
End4.8
blue by 4.4
3452
#43
41.40.4
41.841.4
Auto7.8
Teleop27.3
End6.3
Third
1665
#72
25.40.5
24.925.4
Auto4.5
Teleop16.9
End4.0
blue by 5.4
190
#65
30.80.4
30.430.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
31%Capture oddsEarned86%Capture oddsEarned