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Red98
284635.8
353637.0
26330.7
Blue108
237031.3
533324.2
83436.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1118940608010012014016098108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#20
37.00.5
37.537.0
Auto11.9
Teleop20.8
End4.3
red by 0.2
834
#14
36.80.9
36.036.8
Auto12.2
Teleop20.6
End4.1
Second
2846
#39
35.80.5
36.235.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End5.3
red by 4.5
2370
#41
31.30.9
30.431.3
Auto8.2
Teleop19.4
End3.6
Third
263
#47
30.70.5
31.130.7
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End5.4
red by 6.5
5333
#67
24.20.9
23.324.2
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed24%Capture oddsEarned