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Red110
581625.6
174642.9
304917.2
Blue119
57338.7
5732.2
263430.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78104050150110119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#24
42.92.0
40.842.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End9.7
red by 4.1
573
#15
38.71.1
37.638.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
Second
5816
#66
25.62.0
23.625.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End4.9
blue by 6.5
57
#10
32.21.1
30.231.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
3049
#73
17.22.0
15.217.2
Auto2.8
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 13.5
2634
#30
30.61.1
29.530.6
Auto10.3
Teleop15.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsEarned