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Qual 1162016 Carver Division
Red115
2754.2
425331.3
532631.2
Blue117
50342.0
183635.7
12044.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312190100110130140150115117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#4
54.20.3
56.3→56.1
Auto12.0
Teleop35.5
End6.8
red by 9.4
120
#62
44.80.1
40.3→40.2
Auto10.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
Second
4253
#35
31.30.3
31.6→31.3
Auto10.0
Teleop15.0
End6.2
blue by 10.7
503
#11
42.00.1
42.0→41.9
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
Third
5326
#29
31.20.3
31.5→31.2
Auto8.9
Teleop20.2
End2.2
blue by 4.5
1836
#26
35.70.1
35.8→35.7
Auto8.9
Teleop19.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed